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IFRS 9 Expected Credit Loss (ECL) Model Development Training Course

This course equips participants with the technical knowledge and practical skills required to develop, implement, and manage Expected Credit Loss (ECL) models under IFRS 9. It focuses on credit risk modelling, staging assessment, probability of default estimation, loss given default, exposure at default, macroeconomic forecasting, and model validation. Participants will learn how to build robust ECL frameworks that comply with international financial reporting standards and support effective credit risk management.

Target Groups

  • Credit risk analysts and managers
  • Financial analysts and data scientists
  • Bank and microfinance institution staff
  • Risk management and compliance officers
  • IFRS reporting and accounting professionals
  • Internal and external auditors
  • Treasury and finance professionals
  • Regulators and supervisory staff
  • Consultants in credit risk and financial modeling
  • Students in finance, statistics, economics, or actuarial science

Course Objectives

By the end of this course, participants will be able to:

  • Understand IFRS 9 ECL requirements and principles
  • Develop and implement ECL models effectively
  • Estimate Probability of Default (PD), Loss Given Default (LGD), and Exposure at Default (EAD)
  • Apply staging criteria (Stage 1, 2, and 3 classification)
  • Incorporate forward-looking macroeconomic information
  • Build and validate credit risk models
  • Perform scenario and stress testing for ECL
  • Interpret and report ECL results for financial statements
  • Strengthen model governance and documentation
  • Ensure compliance with IFRS 9 standards in credit provisioning

Course Modules

Module 1: Introduction to IFRS 9 and ECL Framework

  • Overview of IFRS 9 requirements
  • Concept of Expected Credit Loss
  • Differences between IAS 39 and IFRS 9
  • Credit risk and impairment principles
  • Overview of ECL lifecycle

Module 2: Staging Approach under IFRS 9

  • Stage 1, Stage 2, and Stage 3 classification
  • Significant increase in credit risk (SICR)
  • Default definition and criteria
  • Transition between stages
  • Impact of staging on impairment

Module 3: Key ECL Components (PD, LGD, EAD)

  • Probability of Default modelling
  • Loss Given Default estimation
  • Exposure at Default calculation
  • Data requirements and sources
  • Model calibration techniques

Module 4: Macroeconomic Forecasting and Forward-Looking Data

  • Role of macroeconomic variables in ECL
  • Scenario development (base, optimistic, pessimistic)
  • Weighting of economic scenarios
  • Linking macro factors to credit risk
  • Forecasting techniques and challenges

Module 5: ECL Model Development and Implementation

  • Model design and structure
  • Data preparation and segmentation
  • Model building techniques
  • Portfolio-level vs individual ECL models
  • Implementation in financial systems

Module 6: Model Validation and Back Testing

  • Model performance assessment
  • Back-testing methodologies
  • Sensitivity and stress testing
  • Error analysis and adjustments
  • Independent model validation processes

Module 7: ECL Reporting and Financial Statement Impact

  • Recognition of impairment losses
  • Presentation in financial statements
  • Disclosure requirements under IFRS 9
  • Reporting to management and regulators
  • Impact of ECL on profitability and capital

Module 8: Governance, Controls, and Compliance

  • Model governance frameworks
  • Internal controls over ECL models
  • Audit and regulatory expectations
  • Documentation standards
  • Risk management integration

Module 9: Advanced ECL Techniques and Automation

  • Machine learning in credit risk modelling
  • Big data applications in ECL
  • Automation of ECL calculations
  • Advanced statistical techniques
  • Digital transformation in credit risk management

Module 10: Capstone Project and Case Studies

  • Real-world ECL model development case studies
  • Group project: building a simplified IFRS 9 ECL model
  • Simulation of staging and provisioning decisions
  • Scenario analysis and stress testing exercises
  • Emerging trends in IFRS 9 implementation, AI-driven credit risk modelling, real-time credit monitoring systems, and advanced predictive analytics in financial risk management

Course Features

  • Activities Finance, Accounting & Taxation
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